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Al-Sudani's advisor reveals Iraq's debts and their global classification.
The financial advisor to the Iraqi Prime Minister, Mazhar Mohammed Salih, revealed on Friday that the ratio of external and domestic public debt does not exceed 33% of the gross domestic product, an indicator that places Iraq within a comfortable and low-risk global credit rating.
“Iraq legally and customarily extinguished, in the Paris Club agreement of 2004, about $100 billion of the external debt accumulated by the former regime due to conflicts and wars. It was called pre-1990 debt and had a claims ceiling of about $38.9 billion.
The remainder was rescheduled for about 20 years after the immediate cancellation of $100 billion, noting that many countries had cancelled 100% or close to that at the time of signing the agreement, which reduced the remaining reschedulable debt,” Saleh said in a press statement followed by Al-Mada.
He added, "It is also assumed that the Paris Club debts (both sovereign and foreign sector) will be fully extinguished in 2028, with the final foreign private sector debt remaining after the latter's rescheduling into European bonds called 'Iraq 2028'. The debt is valued at approximately $2.7 billion and is currently traded in global secondary capital markets."
He continued, "We also borrowed approximately $12 billion to finance the budget during the war on ISIS, most of which was repaid, specifically with the International Monetary Fund."
Regarding foreign debt, Saleh points out that "the foreign debts due over the next four years are approximately $9 billion, and there are foreign debts of a similar amount extending over longer years, related to long-term loans from international funds, mostly for the reconstruction of liberated areas."
Accordingly, "the ratio of external debt to GDP is within a very safe range, not exceeding 8% of GDP, which has placed Iraq within a comfortable and low-risk global credit rating," according to Saleh.
The government advisor explained that "the general budget annually allocates appropriate allocations for debt repayment and servicing as a top priority, which has strengthened Iraq's creditworthiness."
As for the domestic public debt, according to Saleh, it "amounts to 85 trillion dinars, half of which is invested in the Central Bank of Iraq's investment portfolio, and the remainder is held mostly by government banks and the public in the form of bonds and transfers. It has accumulated due to the three oil asset cycles."
He reveals that "domestic public debt constitutes 25% of GDP. If the value of the remaining external public debt is added to the domestic public debt, their combined ratio to GDP does not exceed 33%, indicating that our country is within the safe classification criteria for acceptable debt, which amounts to 60% of GDP."
He notes, "But without forgetting that there are approximately $40 billion that have not been settled practically since the Paris Club agreement in 2004, which (should be written off by 80% or more) under the agreement, if that debt is true, and which belong to eight countries related to financing the Iran-Iraq war. These are odious debts, as they are called in economic literature, and they are pending without settlement."
The government advisor concluded his remarks by saying, "There is careful planning between fiscal and monetary policies to extinguish the domestic debt held by the (government banking system) within a genuine financial settlement that provides public finances with ample scope for financial sustainability link