Economist: Targeting Oil Facilities Could Raise The Price Of A Barrel To $130

 Economist: Targeting Oil Facilities Could Raise The Price Of A Barrel To $130.

 
Today 12:18  Information / Baghdad..  International economics professor Nawar Al-Saadi warned on Tuesday that  an escalation in military tensions between Iran and the Zionist entity, with the exchange of strikes shifting from limited scope to direct targeting of vital infrastructure,  could push the world toward one of the most serious economic crises in decades.   

Al-Saadi told Al-Maalouma News Agency that  "the targeting of a gas platform by the Zionist entity and Iran's response by bombing a refinery in Haifa represent a dangerous indicator of the potential outbreak of a strategic assets war in which energy facilities, including oil and gas, become key targets in the conflict."  

He added that  "global energy security will be the first to pay the price," noting that  "the Strait of Hormuz, over which Iran has geographic control, passes more than 25% of global oil exports."   

He explained that  "any actual threat to this vital waterway, whether through closure, bombing, or naval mines, would cause a market shock that could send oil prices to nearly $130 per barrel if navigation were partially disrupted."  

 He explained that  "this price jump will put significant pressure on the economies of importing countries, particularly in Asia and Europe,  and will push toward a new global inflationary wave
that could weaken purchasing power and lead to an economic slowdown that could reach the point of recession if the conflict continues." 

 He pointed out that  "the repercussions of the escalation will impact global supply chains,
particularly in the transportation and heavy industry sectors, due to rising fuel and logistics costs,
which threatens a shortage of basic commodities and a decline in global production."  

He stressed that  "the Gulf states will not be immune from the impact, despite their relative distance from the geography of the confrontation," noting that their energy facilities remain vulnerable to potential missile or electronic attacks, which would deepen the supply crisis. 

As for Iraq, he noted, "The impact will be twofold.
 
While it may benefit in the short term from higher oil prices,
it could face a real problem if the Strait of Hormuz is closed or export routes are disrupted,
particularly given the Ceyhan pipeline's closure and its current reliance on the Gulf as the sole conduit for its oil exports." 

He concluded by saying,  "The transformation of the conflict into a full-scale war on energy infrastructure will not remain confined to its security or political scope, but may cause a global economic shock deeper than that caused by the Ukraine war, with the potential to redraw the map of alliances and centers of economic influence in the world."  End 25/S      
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