Sharp fluctuations in the value of the Iranian currency amid regional tensions between Tehran and Tel Aviv.

  Sharp fluctuations in the value of the Iranian currency amid regional tensions between Tehran and Tel Aviv.

Iranian markets have witnessed sharp fluctuations in the Iranian toman's exchange rate over the past few days, directly influenced by the escalating geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel. The US dollar's exchange rate against the toman reached 9 million tomans at the height of talk of a possible direct war, after it had been expected to reach 10 million.

But with signs of calm and de-escalation between the two sides, the value of the toman has risen again, amidst a state of uncertainty that has gripped the market.

Decrease in trading volume and warnings against risk

"We sold the dollar for 7.6 million dinars, but we didn't buy back because of the price fluctuations," Kawa Yahya, an exchange office owner, told a Kurdistan 24 reporter. "The price had risen to 9 million tomans this morning due to the escalation, but later dropped to 7 million, which represents a difference of nearly 2 million in a very short period."

Money changers confirmed that toman banknotes are becoming less available in the market, and that daily trading volume has fallen to approximately 60% compared to previous levels.

Conditional optimism and expectations of more volatility

For his part, Shawan Muhammad, an exchange office owner, said, "After the calm, the toman began to regain some of its value, but its fate remains uncertain. There is talk of an impending agreement between the United States and Iran, and if it actually materializes, the toman will regain its strength. So far, Tehran has not conceded its interests, so we expect the market to remain volatile."

Observers believe that any new security or political unrest among the countries of the region would immediately impact the toman's exchange rate and trading volume in the Iranian market.

Despite the lack of stability, approximately 10 billion tomans are still traded daily, a source of concern for traders who face significant financial risks amid the lack of clear guarantees regarding the future of the Iranian currency.   link