🇮🇶⚠️ “Baghdad’s Dangerous Dance with Tehran Could Sink Iraq’s Future”

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 🇮🇶⚠️ “Baghdad’s Dangerous Dance with Tehran Could Sink Iraq’s Future”

Tensions are rising — and Iraq’s continued alignment with Iranian-backed militias may cost it dearly, both economically and politically. Is Sudani steering Iraq into a regional storm?


🧨 THE PMF PROBLEM:

  • Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) — Iran-aligned militias operating in Iraq — are technically state-sanctioned but answer directly to Tehran, not Baghdad.

  • These groups have attacked U.S. bases and use Iraq to help Iran circumvent sanctions, undermining Iraq’s global credibility.

🧠 Translation: Iraq is being used as a proxy corridor in Iran’s regional shadow war — and it’s not going unnoticed by the West.


💥 Israel–Iran Conflict Escalates: Iraq at Risk?

Despite Iran's mounting confrontation with Israel and the U.S. (see the 12-day war in June), PMF militias in Iraq stayed quiet. But don’t mistake silence for irrelevance — these groups are still deeply entrenched and well-armed.

🧨 If Iraq is seen as an active part of Iran’s war machine, it could be hit hard by U.S. or Israeli strikes

 — again.


🔌 U.S. Pulling the Plug

  • Trump’s renewed maximum pressure campaign is already showing:

    • ❌ Ended Iraq’s electricity waiver from Iran

    • ❌ Accused Rafidain Bank of funding Yemen’s Houthis

    • ❌ Sanctioned Iraqi banks complicit in Iran’s sanction-evasion

🇺🇸 The U.S. is done playing nice — and it’s now hinting that Iraq itself could be sanctioned  if PMF control continues.


🛑 Sudani Under Fire

PM Sudani is:

  • 🤐 Accused of turning a blind eye to PMF smuggling, black markets, and attacks

  • ⚖️ Balancing pressure from Iran-aligned blocs and U.S. expectations

  • 🚫 Penalizing the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) while empowering the PMF

🔍 Washington sees through this — and it's putting pressure on Kurdish oil exports to counter Iran’s shadow economy.


🤯 Internal Cracks Widening:

Speculation grows about a power struggle within Iraq’s Shiite political class:

  • Some want to reform and integrate the PMF into national forces

  • Others see that as a threat to Iran’s proxy control

➡️ If not handled carefully, this could spark civil conflict within Iraq’s own Shiite factions.


🧭 The Crossroads:

Iraq must choose a path:

🔵 Align with the U.S.
✔️ Access to foreign aid
✔️ Economic development
✔️ Regional legitimacy

🔴 Double down with Iran
⚠️ Sanctions
⚠️ International isolation
⚠️ Security collapse

As the article warns: “The future Iran offers Iraq threatens to return the country to the 1990s.”


🗣️ Bottom Line for the Dinar Community:

Iraq’s long-term economic recovery and currency reform (including any potential RV) depends heavily on:

  • Restoring trust with Western powers

  • Dismantling the PMF’s political stranglehold

  • Realigning itself with global economic norms, not black-market proxy wars

💡 Without securitysovereignty, and Western partnershipmonetary reform will stall — no matter how promising internal financial news may look.


📢 What Can We Do?

✅ Stay informed
✅ Watch for PMF-related sanctions news
✅ Track U.S.–Iraq energy and security negotiations
✅ Support transparency and the rule of law in Iraq


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💬 Do you think Sudani can handle this pressure, or is Iraq drifting too far into Tehran’s orbit? Let’s discuss below. 👇

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